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Testing Spearman's rank correlation
Edexcel IAL Mathematics · WST03 Statistics 3
A value of r_s from a small sample could arise by chance. A hypothesis test decides whether there is evidence of correlation in the population, using the table of critical values for Spearman's coefficient.
Hypotheses
Use ρ_s for the population coefficient (examiners require a parameter, not r_s):
- H0: ρ_s = 0 (no correlation)
- H1: ρ_s > 0 (positive), ρ_s < 0 (negative) or ρ_s ≠ 0 (two-tailed).
The direction comes from the question ('agree' or 'higher ... higher' means positive).
Critical values
The table gives one-tailed critical values for n = 4 upwards at 5%, 2.5% and 1%. For a two-tailed test at 5%, use the 2.5% column. Reject H0 if |r_s| is at least the critical value (with the sign matching H1). Do not use the normal distribution; examiners report candidates wrongly using it to find the critical value.
| n | 5% | 2.5% | 1% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.7143 | 0.7857 | 0.8929 |
| 8 | 0.6429 | 0.7381 | 0.8333 |
| 9 | 0.6000 | 0.7000 | 0.7833 |
| 10 | 0.5636 | 0.6485 | 0.7455 |
Spearman's critical values, one-tailed (Pearson tables)
Example
Judges, n = 8, r_s = 0.8333. H0: ρ_s = 0, H1: ρ_s > 0 at 5%. Critical value 0.6429. 0.8333 > 0.6429, so reject H0: there is evidence of positive correlation between the judges' rankings, so the judges tend to agree.
The conclusion must use the context (ranks, judges, contestants) and the direction.
Worked example
A sample of 7 pairs gives r_s = -0.75. Test at the 5% level whether there is negative correlation.
- H0: ρ_s = 0, H1: ρ_s < 0.
- One-tailed 5% critical value for n = 7: -0.7143.
- -0.75 < -0.7143: in the critical region.
Answer: Reject H0: there is evidence of negative correlation.
Check yourself
- Find the critical value for a one-tailed test of ρ_s = 0 at the 5% level with n = 10. Give your answer to 4 decimal places.
Show answer
0.5636. From the table: 0.5636.
- Find the critical value for a two-tailed test of ρ_s = 0 at the 5% level with n = 9. Give your answer to 4 decimal places.
Show answer
0.7000. Two-tailed 5% uses the 2.5% column: 0.7000.
- Find the critical value for a one-tailed test of ρ_s = 0 at the 1% level with n = 7. Give your answer to 4 decimal places.
Show answer
0.8929. From the table: 0.8929.
- Judges: n = 8, r_s = 0.8333, H1: ρ_s > 0 at 5%. Which conclusion earns the mark?
- Reject H0: there is strong correlation
- Reject H0: there is evidence of positive correlation between the two judges' rankings
- Do not reject H0: the judges disagree
- Reject H0: r_s is greater than 0
Show answer
Reject H0: there is evidence of positive correlation between the two judges' rankings. 0.8333 > 0.6429; the conclusion names the context and the direction.
- n = 9 and r_s = 0.65. Is there evidence at the 5% level of correlation (two-tailed)?
- Yes, because 0.65 > 0.6000
- Yes, because 0.65 > 0.5
- No, because r_s must equal 1
- No, because 0.65 < 0.7000
Show answer
No, because 0.65 < 0.7000. Two-tailed 5% uses the 2.5% column, 0.7000, and 0.65 is less than this.
- Which hypotheses are correct for testing whether two judges' rankings agree?
- H0: r_s = 0, H1: r_s > 0
- H0: ρ_s = 0, H1: ρ_s > 0
- H0: ρ_s > 0, H1: ρ_s = 0
- H0: ρ_s = 0, H1: ρ_s ≠ 0
Show answer
H0: ρ_s = 0, H1: ρ_s > 0. Agreement means positive correlation; hypotheses use the population parameter ρ_s.
- A student uses the normal distribution to find a critical value for Spearman's test with n = 8. What is wrong?
- The student should use χ2
- Spearman's coefficient cannot be tested
- Nothing: the normal distribution is required
- The critical value must come from the Spearman table
Show answer
The critical value must come from the Spearman table. Examiners report this error: the critical value for Spearman's test comes from the table of critical values, not the normal distribution.
Sources
- Pearson Edexcel International Advanced Level in Mathematics specification (issue 3), Unit S3
- Pearson Edexcel IAL Statistics S3 (WST03) mark scheme, June 2024
- Pearson Edexcel IAL Statistics S3 (WST03) examiners' report, June 2025
- Pearson Edexcel Mathematical Formulae and Statistical Tables
Last updated 8 November 2026. Spotted a mistake? Tell us.